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Top 7 Mistakes to Avoid in Microcap Crypto Investing in 2024

Trading or investing in microcap cryptocurrencies has a potential for explosive growth and equally explosive losses, it can be a thrilling yet treacherous landscape for investors. While the temptation of exploring the next 100x gem is strong, steering this market without a sharp eye and a firm understanding of the risks involved can lead to devastating financial losses.

To help you steer clear of common pitfalls, here are the top 7 mistakes to avoid when investing in microcap cryptocurrencies:

  1. Ignoring Social Media: In today’s digital age, social media serves as a powerful communication tool for crypto projects. One of the first steps in due diligence is examining a project’s social media presence. Ignoring a project’s social media presence can leave you blind to crucial information such as updates, milestones, and the future plans of the project developers.
  • Example: In 2022, the “Squid Game” token (SQUID) skyrocketed based on the popularity of the Netflix show. Its social media channels were abuzz with excitement, fueling the hype. However, investors who ignored the project’s lack of utility, unknown developers, and suspicious smart contracts ended up losing everything as the token plummeted to zero in a rug pull.

Check out the project’s official channels, Telegram groups, and Discord servers to gauge community sentiment, developer activity, and potential red flags. A project with an engaged and informed community is often a positive sign, while radio silence or negativity could be cause for concern.

2. Not Checking the Market Cap and FDV (Fully Diluted Value): Market capitalization (Market Cap) and Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) are essential metrics and neglecting them for investment decisions can be tricky. The market cap gives you an idea of the current value of all circulating tokens, while the FDV shows the value of the cryptocurrency if all tokens were in circulation.

  • Example: In 2021, the LOOKS token had a low market cap, enticing many buyers. However, they failed to consider the fully diluted valuation (FDV), which was much higher due to the massive token supply. As more tokens were unlocked, the price crashed, leaving investors holding depreciating bags.

Don’t be blinded by low market caps and forget to check the FDV. A high FDV compared to the market cap might tell you that a significant number of tokens are yet to be released, which could dilute the value of current tokens. Not analyzing these figures can lead to misjudging the project’s growth potential and risk.

3. Not Checking the Investors in the Token: Knowing who is backing a project can provide valuable insights into its potential and legitimacy. Look for reputable venture capitalists, angel investors, or established advisors involved in the project. Their involvement can signal confidence in the project’s potential, while a lack of notable backers could raise questions.

  • Example: In 2023, the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG) invested heavily in the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem. This initially boosted investor confidence. However, upon closer scrutiny, concerns arose about LFG’s financial stability and the sustainability of the TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin peg. When UST de-pegged, LUNA crashed, it wiped out billions for investors who relied solely on LFG’s involvement.

4. Ignoring Chart Patterns and Technical Analysis: Technical analysis is a valuable tool in an investor’s arsenal. While technical analysis shouldn’t be the sole driver of your investment decisions, understanding basic chart patterns and indicators can help you identify potential entry and exit points. Ignoring the charts could leave you buying into a pump-and-dump scheme or holding onto a token in decline.

5. Underestimating Large Slippage: Slippage occurs when there is a difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is executed. Microcap tokens often have low liquidity, which can lead to significant slippage when buying or selling.

Not accounting for slippage when placing orders can result in purchasing at much higher prices or selling at much lower prices than intended. Factor in potential slippage when calculating your entry and exit points to avoid unpleasant surprises.

6. Neglecting All-Time High (ATH): The all-time high (ATH) price of a cryptocurrency can provide context for its current performance and potential for recovery or growth. Chasing tokens that have fallen significantly from their ATH can be tempting, but proceed with caution because Investing in a token that has significantly fallen from its ATH without understanding the reasons behind the drop (e.g., market cycles, fundamental issues with the project) can be risky.

  • Example: In 2018, the BitConnect token (BCC) reached an ATH of $400 before crashing spectacularly due to an unsustainable Ponzi scheme. Many investors bought in after the crash, hoping for a comeback, but ended up losing even more as the true nature of the project was exposed.

Understand the reasons behind the drop and assess if the project has addressed the underlying issues. Blindly buying into a fallen star could lead to further losses if the problems persist.

7. Not using TokenSniffer or Similar Analysis Tools: Token analysis tools like TokenSniffer, Decipher, etc can be valuable resources for identifying potential scams or rug pulls. These tools can provide automated checks for common scam indicators, smart contract vulnerabilities, and other red flags.

  • Example: In 2020, the Yam Finance (YAM) project gained traction due to its high yields. However, investors who skipped analyzing the smart contract missed a critical vulnerability that allowed an attacker to mint billions of tokens, crashing the price and leaving everyone else holding worthless tokens.

These analysis platforms can save time and reduce risk by filtering out potentially harmful projects based on predefined criteria. If investors don’t utilize these tools, they might miss out on crucial information that could prevent bad investment decisions. Although these tools are not foolproof, they can help you avoid investing in projects with glaring red flags.

Conclusion

Avoiding these seven mistakes can greatly improve your chances of success in crypto trading and investing. The key is thorough research, careful analysis, and a disciplined approach to risk management.

Don’t forget that the crypto market is volatile, and microcaps magnify that volatility. Learn from the mistakes of others and avoid these common mistakes. Conduct thorough research and employ a healthy dose of skepticism. If you do so, you can increase your chances of navigating this exciting yet challenging investment landscape successfully.

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